Using observational data to estimate prognosis an example using a coronary artery disease registry

Elizabeth R. DeLonglAt, Charlotte L. Nelson2, John B. Wong3, David B. Pryor4, Eric D. Peterson2, Kerry L. Lee5, Daniel B. Mark2, Robert M. Califf6

and Stephen G. Pauker3

1 Outcomes Research & Assessment Group, Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Department of Medicine, Biometry Division, Community and Family Medicine, 2400 Pratt Street,

Durham, NC 27705, U.S.A. 2Outcomes Research & Assessment Group, Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University,

Department of Medicine, Durham, NC 27710-7510, U.S.A. 3New England Medical Center, Department of Medicine, Box 302, Boston, MA 02111, U.S.A. 4Allina Health System, P.O. Box 9310, Minneapolis, MN 55440-9310, U.S.A. 5Duke Clinical Research Institute, Biometry Division, Community and Family Medicine, Box 3363, Durham, NC 27710-7510, U.S.A. 6Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University Division of Cardiology and Department of Medicine, Box 31123, Durham, NC 27710-7510, U.S.A.

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